Key development: The US and Iran just signed a peace deal ending over 100 days of war, with a formal ceremony scheduled for Friday in Geneva.
Diplomacy
(Update) Trump says the US-Iran deal is signed and done. The text will be released after a formal ceremony Friday in Geneva, and the Strait of Hormuz should be fully open by then. (Al Jazeera, France 24)
Context: Pakistan mediated the agreement, which includes an “immediate and permanent” end to military operations, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, easing sanctions, and plans for future nuclear talks. Vice President JD Vance will attend Friday’s ceremony. Trump announced the deal is now signed, moving from the tentative framework announced Sunday to a completed agreement. However, Israel’s defense minister stated Monday that Israeli forces would remain “indefinitely” in seized territories in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria, directly contradicting the US-Iran accord.
Sources: Al Jazeera | France 24 | France 24
(Update) A ceasefire is now actually holding in southern Lebanon. Iran says ending the Lebanon war is an “inseparable” part of the deal with the US. (Al Jazeera)
Context: The ceasefire took effect with cautious optimism and relief reported on the ground, representing the concrete implementation of what was previously just a draft agreement. Iranian officials explicitly stated that ending the Lebanon war is an “inseparable” part of the US-Iran agreement. Lebanese officials remain worried about whether Israel will honor the ceasefire, especially given Israel’s defense minister statement Monday about staying indefinitely in seized territories.
Sources: Al Jazeera | Al Jazeera
(Update) Pakistan’s army chief mediated the whole thing. Prime Minister Sharif confirmed his role in securing the deal. (Al Jazeera)
Context: This is the first official attribution of who brokered the agreement after over 100 days of war. Trump now says the deal is fully signed, while Pakistan’s initial announcement described it as a tentative agreement.
Sources: Al Jazeera
Governments worldwide are welcoming the deal, but Israel is criticizing it. Netanyahu’s government is not on board with the agreement. (Al Jazeera)
Context: The international community has formally welcomed the US-Iran agreement. However, Israel’s defense minister said Monday that Israeli forces would remain indefinitely in territories seized during the war in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria—directly contradicting the spirit of the US-Iran deal.
Sources: Al Jazeera | France 24
[UNCONFIRMED] Lebanese officials remain concerned about whether Israel will honor the ceasefire despite past violations. (Al Jazeera)
Context: While the ceasefire is currently holding, this concern is heightened by Israel’s defense minister statement about staying indefinitely in seized territories and the timing of strikes during peace negotiations.
Sources: Al Jazeera
Economy
(Update) Ships are moving through the Strait of Hormuz again. The US naval blockade of Iranian ports will remain in place until Friday’s signing ceremony. (Al Jazeera)
Context: Trump confirmed ships are actively moving through the strait now. The blockade has a concrete end date tied to the formal signing on Friday, which should fully reopen one of the world’s most important oil chokepoints.
Sources: Al Jazeera
Military Operations
(Update) Israel hit more than 20 locations across Lebanon over the weekend despite peace talks. They issued evacuation warnings for Nabatieh and conducted strikes in the south and east. (France 24)
Context: This happened Saturday as the US and Iran were close to finalizing their deal. Israel hit southern and eastern locations across the country, representing a significant geographic expansion beyond previous single strikes. The timing raises questions about whether Israel will honor the ceasefire that is now supposedly in effect.
Sources: France 24
(Update) Three Indian crew members are confirmed dead after the US fired on a tanker off Oman. India says 21 of 24 crew were rescued from the Settebello. (France 24)
Context: The US military said it fired on the tanker for trying to breach its blockade of Iran. India initially reported three crew members missing on Wednesday—they are now confirmed dead. The Indian foreign ministry condemned the attack.
Sources: France 24
What to watch: Whether Israel actually pulls back from the territories its defense minister says they’re keeping indefinitely, and whether the Friday ceremony in Geneva happens without last-minute complications.